LUNA FTM CGN GOOGLE SHOP

 

Understanding fundamental analysis


Welcome back sprinters today, we talk revenue systems, saving systems, investment systems, as always, this is not financial advice. This is how you can build your revenue systems, how you can build your investment systems. And today we look at the investment situation right now at the markets, the Bitcoin crash, what to do with the federal reserve and their actions, what to do with it. And I will share with you what I bought and what I sold this week. Do not just copy what I am doing. It doesn't work, but use it to understand how to do fundamental analysis and how to create to your location that fits your current situation and how to decide if, to pick something and when to pick it. That's technical analysis. So right. Let's jump into it. Let's see what the markets are doing. First fear and greed index is at 23.


That's massive fear out there. Why we have the fed meeting, the fed turned hawkish, meaning they say, okay, we're not gonna do quantitative easing pumping, more printing, more money that they don't have. Instead we might go quantitative tightening. That means reducing the balance sheet, stopping or reducing buying bonds at this massive rate month that they were doing. If this is the case, this will rattle the markets. And we will see all stock prices down, especially the, the ones with a high PE. So growth stocks, especially tech growth stocks, everything that is overvalued. And we have many of them in the tech space and everything that is perceived as risk on and investors will move to risk of. Let's see what this means and what you can do. But in general, 23 fear high fear means for us, it's time to buy. So experience the investors.


They know the cyclical nature of markets. And for us, it's just a buying signal. Okay. Let's see what we can buy today. Now, if we look at current prices, it's funny because let's see right now, if we start Amazon down, how much percent let's move it in percent, Amazon down, Google down, Tesla down minus 3.5%. It's a lot for Tesla. Shopify, minus 2%. Shopify is something that I'd like to buy this week to accumulate even more Tesla at 1026. If you don't have any Tesla, that's a good entry point. And if you have some weight for 900, 950 to get back into there, Google 2,740 is not. If you don't have any Google, Google is a beast. Google will go up and up and up. And I expect 40% increase if not 50% increase in 2022 via Google.

 

This is all normal


Amazon has been flat all year is one of our favorite rates, but it's not doing anything. So it's a long term hold of course a value asset, but it's not doing a lot. Shopify might be a right moment right now to add to if you believe in Bitcoin. And if you want Bitcoin proxy now is also good moment to buy MicroStrategy, but you are at risk because you go with the volatility of Bitcoin, same thing with clean spark, which is a Bitcoin minor and have eight, another Bitcoin minor, same thing, by the way. Also with block former square, the market, didn't like it, all that Jack Dorsey puts everything into square. The valuation went down, we still believe it. And so this is one of the cases where there is a disconnect between the value of a company and the perceived value. And it's fine. And it's with innovation. It's always like this. And so if you can stomach that and if, if you can be cool and wait for one to three years, maybe five years, then this is something to still hold. Same thing with PayPal. The market doesn't see right now, the value I do, I do and hold it.


So then if we look at the NAEC, it's slightly down because of the fat and the S and P 500 and the general S and P is mildly down and it's the NA egg is hit stronger. So tech is really what's, , what's been hitting hard last week because people move off from risk on and tech, especially the high valuation tech and the, and the growth tech companies are seen as risk on this is where a rotation is happening right now in the markets. If you look at things that are in the green, we have energy in the green, even some banking, the only banking title that I owes Burbank is in the green. We have a lot of energy in the green and the strongest. One of them being can Canadian natural resources, this energy company that's really crushing in the whole year. And they have been green all the time.


So if you're looking for a risk of asset Canadian, natural resources is something to look into and many things that also apple is seen as a risk of asset, because what can happen to apple? You can use it like Warren buffet uses it just as your money bank basically. And then we have Bitcoin down, Solana down, link down link was doing really well over the last days, actually. And then my favorites of this week are really Phantom and Luna. I both, some more of both, both Phantom and Luna. I bought Phantom at 2.1 and I bought Luna at 60 and at 65. And it, I think Luna has potential even at 69, I wouldn't buy a 69. I would prefer 60 to enter, but Luna strong and might be what Solana has been in 4 20 21 that might be Lu in 2022. Actually it's a layer one with a ton of developers.


Developers love it. I've been diving deep into where developers are really going to. So these two are really strong for the ones of you who say my goodness, I, I feel so bad right now because I hold so much. Bitcoin, let me share this with you by RA Paul who say, Hey, people remember to not use the daily or weekly chart. When you look at Bitcoin you, you look at years, years, so, and you don't use the linear chart, use the log chart, the logarithmic chart, because it's an asset with 70 volatility. That means 50%, 40%, 30% swing are normal are to be at expected. And then he, he compares Bitcoin to Amazon in their first 10 years, which is interesting. So first of all, he, he says if you look at Bitcoin, overall, the fundamentals are unchanged. It's the same. And the Bitcoin price is still moving along.

 

The Metcal flow



Metcal's law, which is the network formula, right? The stronger the network is the more value for revenue user. And this is kind of what's going on right now with the slide, slight variation due to probably the, the events that have been happening. And if you look at Amazon, there is one that is even more clear when he shows that Amazon had a volatility 2003 to 2010, had a volatility with these spikes of minus 50%, minus 49% and minus 20% showing that Amazon being the same network F effect kind of business like Bitcoin is driven by network effect by fast adoption and by network effect. So Metcal flow. And it has in the beginning corrections of 50%, 40%, 49%, 20%. These are 2003 to 2010. And if we move forward, we see this one is quite clear. I think because if you look at Amazon from 98, 99 to, to 2010, we have one correction of minus 94%, the correction of minus 57%, the correction of minus 62% correction of minus 30% correction of minus 32 minus 26, minus 33 minus 70 in.


And what we see here is this is 2021, where it has been mainly flat moving. Literally what you see here is that volatility decreases with the market cap, with the maturity of it. And so on is now in its 12 years, somewhere here. And it's the same volatility and the same growth pattern that Amazon had. I really like how Raul brings this perspective in to yeah, basically remind us about the perspective on a volatile, a seven 70 volatility asset and what our expectations are and how these things evolve. Now. Having said that we talked about Phantom is Phantom by today is Luna ABI. Today is Solana ABI today. Let's have a look. So I think that Phantom is a buy at 2.2 0.3, the a size is at 40. I would wait for the, a side to, to touch 30, and I would wait for the price to touch the low or Bollinger band, which is $2.10.


And I would also wait for this red trend here to turn green. That might be end of this week. That might be next week. And then this might be a good entry point for me to buy more Phantom because I really believe in Phantom, the fundamentals are strong, all developers are flocking there. And now it's just a question of TA of technical analysis. When is, when is it right? So I would say RSI 30 lower Bollinger bend touched 2.1 and end of the end of the red trend swapping into green trend. That's the right point to buy. Then let's look at Luna Luna. I've been buying more Luna over the last days. And Luna is also, if you look at the four hour charts, Luna, same thing as soon as the Airi is in the thirties and the, or even below 30. And we see the end of the red trend turning green, and then we even touch, or Surpas the lower BI band around 64. That's a good entry point 60 to 64 is a very good entry point for Luna, which is Terra, but you can buy either wrapped Luna or Terra wherever, depending on where you are buying, but it's really the same thing. So that's Lu. What else have I been watching?


It's always good to buy Google, I think. And especially when it's slightly down like today. So 2,700, if you don't own any Google, that might be an entry point right there for you. You own a lot, like many that are listening to this channel over time. Then maybe you can wait for even more of a correction because Wednesday, Wednesday is the next fed announcement and that might bring everything down. And usually, so it's, it's hard to bring Google down, but look, it's happening. So if that goes to 2,680 I'm in and I buy more Google, so hope that helps. And there is another one that I've been looking at, which is really interesting Canadian natural resources. So I bought some of it it two weeks ago and yeah, I got lucky it's up 12% since then, which is incredible. Everything was red and this guy was pumping.


So it's really interesting. And then if you look back, I just wanted something to differentiate and I wasn't expecting, I was expecting something like, you know, people, when people buy an ETF, did they expect like 7%? This is what I was expecting 7% in a year. And now I got 12% in 10 days. So yeah, it's an interesting thing to watch Canadian network resources, C NQ if they want something risk off for the coming bear markets and also chain link is something that I'm, I've been buying more to have something as, as a bear market play, because we will have bear markets in this year 2022, it's not the same as last year. We will have corrections, dips and swings, hope that helps. And if you need anything, let me know, happy to do a video, keep rolling.

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